I’ll admit, I’ve been back and forth and round on round on whether or not to throw my own predictions out into the wilderness. Every year, everyone feels the need to voice their opinion, before a single game has been played, until it becomes as so much white noise.
But what the hey, everyone else is doing it. My own system uses statistical models based on the career paths of players with high similarity scores, much like PECOTA, but mine is influenced more by the depth of individual teams’ farm systems. Therefore, teams with shallow systems tend to fare worse than teams with stronger systems.
The methodology is still being tweaked, but here we go: