A-Rod Fallout Part 2

Yankees superstar Alex Rodriguez will probably require surgery.  When that surgery is going to take place seems to be the only consideration.  With a fairly long recovery time, the Yankees are stuck with a third baseman who will be limited if he plays in the field, and DH is not necessarily an option, depending on whether or not Jorge Posada can catch.

Miguel Tejada 2.jpgThe Dominican Republic’s team in the WBC seems as though it’s comfortable playing Astros shortstop Miguel Tejada at third base to cover for Rodriguez.  My question is this:

Might the Yankees be interested in doing the same thing?

At some point – probably 2010 – Tejada is likely to become an everyday third baseman if he wants his Major League career to continue.  The Yankees, if they were to lose Rodriguez’s production at third, suddenly find themselves behind the 8-Ball.  There aren’t many third basemen who would even approach Rodriguez’s numbers.  Though Tejada isn’t quite A-Rod at the plate, he’s a much better option than any currently-available free agent third basemen, and he comes with just one year left on his contract.

Dan Uggla.jpgMany opinions are floating on the best way to replace Rodriguez, should the Yankees opt to do that.  One of the more intriguing ones has 2B Robinson Cano moving to third base, and the Yankees acquiring either a free agent second baseman like Mark Grudzielanek or Ray Durham, or trading for a second baseman.  Popular opinion puts Florida’s Dan Uggla at the top of this list.

But Uggla’s likely to come with a high price tag.  The Marlins covet prospects, and the Yankees have quite a few that may interest them.  Pitchers Phil Hughes and Austin Jackson are commonly referred to.

What I wonder, though, is if Tejada might entice the Bronx Bombers as an option.  His albatross contract, which is currently strangling the Astros’ payroll, would be a drop in the bucket to the Yankees.  He provides good defense and a solid bat for their lineup, and would no doubt cost less in prospects than would Uggla.

The Astros’ needs are simple, and they begin with starting pitching.  In 2008, the Scranton-Wilkes Barre Yankees had a nice crop of pitchers that helped them place first in the North Division of the International League: Hughes, Jackson, Kei Igawa, Daniel McCutcheon, Ian Kennedy, Jeff Karstens.  The list goes on, but that is a group of pitchers who logged at least 60 innings with ERAs under 4 and WHIPs under 1.20.

Assuming that the Astros want a pitcher on the younger side, under the age of 28, McCutcheon, Kennedy, and Karstens have to look mighty enticing.  Unfortunately, McCutcheon and Karstens were sent to the Pirates in the Xavier NadyDamaso Marte deal in July.  That leaves Ian Kennedy, as well as some more marginal options, including 24-year-old righty Jeff Marquez, Alfredo Aceves, Phil Coke, and Zachary Kroenke, as well as youngsters Dellin Betances, Zachary McAllister, and Mark Melancon.

Mark Melancon.jpgYou can almost pick and choose any two on the list, though it’s highly unlikely the Yanks would part with Coke, who figures to be a big part of their bullpen at some point this year.  Melancon, who spent time in A+, AA, and AAA ball in 2008, combined to go 8-1 with 3 saves in 95 IP, 2.27 ERA, 0.958 WHIP, 89 K, 22 BB.  In my eyes, he’s easily the most intriguing option.  He’ll be 24 this year, and could make a case to break into the Astros’ rotation if things falter and he stays on his current path.

Brett Tomko.jpgThe Astros would also likely want a pitcher who could pitch in the majors this year as a starter, which would be questionable for Melancon, but the Yankees are short on pitchers they might actually deal.  Certainly, they won’t be giving away C.C. Sabathia, Joba Chamberlin, Andy Pettitte, A.J. Burnett, or Chien-Ming Wang without a return greater than Tejada.  But what they might part with is a non-roster invitee like Brett Tomko.  Tomko would be someone who might pitch a little bit at the big league level until Melancon is ready, probably in 2010.

Cody Ransom.jpgIn addition, the Astros would need to find someone to fill the gap left by Tejada.  Drew Sutton, Edwin Maysonet, and Tommy Manzella would enter that debate, along with Geoff Blum.  Let’s assume that Chris Johnson will become the full-time starter at third base at some point this season.  I don’t think it’s unfair to ask the Yankees to send someone who can play both shortstop and third base, and they have a former Astro that fits that bill in Cody Ransom

Reegie Corona.jpgBecause Ransom would primarily be a bench utilityman, Tomko is a flyer, and Melancon would probably need time to develop, the Yankees would have to add another prospect – perhaps switch-hitting second baseman Reegie Corona – to sweeten the deal.

So there you have it: Tomko, Melancon, Ransom, and Corona for Miguel Tejada.  Certainly a fair deal for the Yankees, and the Astros receive some prospects and some middling major leaguers, while ditching Tejada’s contract.  The Yankees get a proven hitter who can play third base and not require them to move their established infielders around, and it would cost them a lot less than Uggla would. Sounds like a plan; let’s make it happen.

5 comments

  1. johnrooney1415@yahoo.com

    I agree. Interesting scenarios you have put out there. If I were the Astros, I would definitely trade Tejada to the yanks for some SP’s, but the Yanks always seem to covet their young SP’s because they always sign the older proven vets, with the exception of this year. Tejada is a veteran in decline so I am not sure if the Yanks want to do that. As for the Yanks trading for Uggla, they might as well wait til he is a FA so they can sign him rather than giving up prospects in an “emergency” situation that would end up biting them in the *** in a couple of years.

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  2. roundrock15

    He’s a veteran in decline, true. But his numbers are still significantly better than they’d get from any free agent options. He had a bad middle of the season, but finished strong and looks to be in the best shape he’s been in in years.

    Even in a “down year” in 2008, he finished .283/.314/.415… aside from a weak OBP because his walks were down significantly, that’s a mighty good year from a veteran infielder. Plus his contract only runs to the end of this year, making it very clear that it’s a short-term solution.

    Besides, my plan doesn’t involve a lot of big-time prospects. Melancon would be the top… Corona is still young enough that there’s no guarantee he’ll pan out; I just like his upside. Tomko and Ransom are throw-aways. I think it’s a fair deal, myself.

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  3. Cockroach

    Very interesting indeed… the Yankees would probably be the only club (or one of very few) willing to take on Tejada’s contract, and if A-Rod does in fact go in for surgery, it’s certain that they’ll be looking for a replacement (perhaps the higher profile, the better, and Tejada fits that bill). I wouldn’t mind Houston adding some more prospects, either, especially since Miggy is almost certainly gone after this season. Unfortunately I don’t think we can spare his bat, though – not if we’re trying to contend this year.
    But maybe by the time A-Rod decides to go under the knife, we’ll be far enough along in the season to have a better idea of where we stand competitively. And if we’re not in a pennant race, then sure – get what you can for Tejada, while you can.
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